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Tips on Managing Risk - Part
II
Investors have a hard life. Rising insurance rates, legal
liability, security concerns and increasing interest rates may
not be actually conspiring to give them early heart attacks,
but it can seem that way. Managing risk is in large part about
how to lower uncertainty by dealing appropriately with those
and other stress factors.
Start by exercising common sense and gathering as much
information about the local market and the general economy in
addition to the specifics on an interesting property. Study the
numbers on rates of new home construction and the ratio of new
to existing property sales. Narrow down to your local market(s)
by looking online at existing comparables, but also talk with
other local property owners about their concerns and plans.
When building new structures, manage risk by reviewing trade
area demand — by demographic and daytime population for
commercial structures, for example. Look also at site
characteristics and examine local competition and contrast with
regional differences. Take some time to find out about upcoming
environmental regulations.
Be sure to set aside the needed amount for insurance, and err
on the side of too much insurance rather than too little, if
minimizing risk is an important goal.
Go into a deal with the maximum available capital by not
spreading your resources too thin. Keep borrowing low and avoid
ARMs (Adjustable Rate Mortgages) unless they're longer than
three years and you expect to sell well within that period.
ARMs are inherently higher risk, and the 'interest only' type
even more so. Rates tend to rise more quickly than they fall,
over the long term.
If you have an ARM and rising monthly payments occur, due to
interest rate increases, while the market price is dropping (as
may soon be the case), consider selling. Even stocks have to be
sold sometimes during a period of declining prices. Capital
preservation is important for long term investing, and part of
that involves keeping liquid during a 'market correction'.
Some lenders allow borrowing more than 100% of the value of the
property. Unless you can use the extra cash in a way that more
than compensates for interest and other charges, that's
burdensome debt.
Take the time to seek out trustworthy and competent people —
don't settle for an uncooperative or arrogant Title company or
an unreliable contractor because you're busy. Think in terms of
long term relationships. Otherwise, the long term will involve
counting financial losses.
Risk can be spread by forming partnerships and, in come cases,
by incorporation. Incorporation can allow you to separate
personal from business assets, protecting you in case of severe
decline. But there are limits — you don't automatically get to
walk away from debts by being incorporated. Partnerships
though, if you can find reliable and compatible individuals
with whom you'll feel comfortable over the long haul, can
strengthen your position.
Partners can help fill in gaps in your knowledge and
experience, provide additional capital and someone to bounce
ideas off of. But choose carefully. Differences of outlook can
lead to stagnation when it comes time to take action. Remember,
risk can never be reduced to zero.
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